Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.474200 0.521605 0.572509 0.631369 0.697719 0.770386 0.856250
2025-10-26 0.398083 0.463912 0.539746 0.634140 0.749282 0.886184 1.062798
2025-11-02 0.355582 0.430610 0.521220 0.639867 0.792843 0.985806 1.251431
2025-11-09 0.316890 0.395123 0.493085 0.626514 0.806264 1.044051 1.389311
2025-11-16 0.294195 0.376342 0.482544 0.632387 0.842441 1.132763 1.575912
2025-11-23 0.271851 0.355357 0.466280 0.627593 0.861675 1.197935 1.734689
2025-11-30 0.255821 0.341104 0.457257 0.631010 0.891488 1.279699 1.926828
2025-12-07 0.238284 0.323164 0.441283 0.622355 0.901668 1.331764 2.077204
2025-12-14 0.223118 0.307319 0.426823 0.614204 0.911036 1.382361 2.230170
2025-12-21 0.206102 0.287582 0.405148 0.593046 0.897510 1.393890 2.316080
2025-12-28 0.199241 0.282204 0.404229 0.603657 0.935543 1.493898 2.572382
2026-01-04 0.192432 0.276379 0.402082 0.611875 0.969954 1.590760 2.835964
2026-01-11 0.184888 0.269103 0.397394 0.615891 0.998131 1.680727 3.102315
2026-01-18 0.177612 0.261802 0.392170 0.618566 1.024175 1.769720 3.381163
2026-01-25 0.171562 0.256016 0.388900 0.624123 1.055614 1.871966 3.704098
2026-02-01 0.162288 0.244539 0.375604 0.611166 1.051528 1.904329 3.878011
2026-02-08 0.157332 0.239753 0.373030 0.616866 1.082944 2.010858 4.239001
2026-02-15 0.150834 0.232068 0.365090 0.612213 1.093772 2.075967 4.512602
2026-02-22 0.146212 0.227236 0.361681 0.615529 1.120452 2.177380 4.893868
2026-03-01 0.139918 0.219268 0.352386 0.607131 1.122609 2.225474 5.146731
2026-03-08 0.134123 0.211870 0.343678 0.599220 1.125006 2.274242 5.410332
2026-03-15 0.126700 0.201349 0.328916 0.578683 1.099149 2.255535 5.484542
2026-03-22 0.124461 0.199702 0.329929 0.588983 1.140006 2.397414 6.044057